Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 7.221957e-05 0.000087 0.000103 0.000121 0.000142 0.000163 0.000188
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.439193e-05 0.000074 0.000096 0.000123 0.000154 0.000189 0.000231
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.224997e-05 0.000063 0.000087 0.000119 0.000157 0.000200 0.000253
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.559652e-05 0.000058 0.000086 0.000123 0.000168 0.000222 0.000288
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.944269e-05 0.000052 0.000082 0.000122 0.000173 0.000235 0.000312
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.300770e-05 0.000045 0.000075 0.000118 0.000174 0.000243 0.000331
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.896159e-05 0.000040 0.000072 0.000117 0.000178 0.000254 0.000352
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.550797e-05 0.000037 0.000069 0.000117 0.000182 0.000265 0.000374
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.335560e-05 0.000034 0.000068 0.000118 0.000189 0.000279 0.000399
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.076575e-05 0.000031 0.000064 0.000117 0.000192 0.000288 0.000418
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.242301e-06 0.000027 0.000060 0.000113 0.000191 0.000293 0.000431
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.238506e-06 0.000026 0.000060 0.000116 0.000199 0.000309 0.000459
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.017216e-06 0.000022 0.000055 0.000112 0.000197 0.000312 0.000472
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.909719e-06 0.000020 0.000053 0.000112 0.000203 0.000327 0.000499
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.651612e-06 0.000017 0.000049 0.000109 0.000203 0.000332 0.000514
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.177822e-06 0.000016 0.000049 0.000112 0.000212 0.000350 0.000547
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.557276e-06 0.000015 0.000048 0.000112 0.000215 0.000361 0.000569
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.148965e-07 0.000012 0.000044 0.000108 0.000214 0.000365 0.000583
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.785379e-07 0.000011 0.000042 0.000108 0.000217 0.000375 0.000603
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.374093e-07 0.000010 0.000040 0.000107 0.000220 0.000384 0.000624
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.201112e-07 0.000009 0.000040 0.000109 0.000226 0.000399 0.000653
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 9.736879e-08 0.000008 0.000038 0.000107 0.000228 0.000407 0.000671
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.214567e-08 0.000006 0.000035 0.000104 0.000226 0.000410 0.000683